Leonard Smith gave an invited talk ‘On the use and abuse (and rational interpretation) of probability forecasts’ and Erica Thompson presented a talk entitled ‘The Hawkmoth Effect in forecasting, monitoring and controlling complex dynamic systems’ at the ‘Forecasting, Monitoring, Controlling: Dealing with a dynamic world’ workshop, 19-20 September 2013, UCL. Abstracts.
Nick Watkins gave two talks entitled ‘Why is it useful to treat the magnetosphere as a complex system?’ and ‘Anomalous diffusion, anomalous time series, and the models that describe them’ at an International Space Science Institute workshop on ‘Self-organized criticality and turbulence‘, Bern, Switzerland.
Ewelina Sienkiewicz presented a poster on ‘How to quantify the predictability of a chaotic system?‘ at the NCAS Climate Modelling Summer School, Oxford.
Roman Frigg gave a talk entitled ‘What do we owe to future generations? Climate change and intergenerational justice’, at China Agricultural University, Beijing.
Leonard Smith gave a plenary talk on ‘Challenges for decision-makers facing uncertainty’ at the NERC PURE Associates workshop, Oxford.
Leonard Smith gave an invited talk entitled ‘Aims and means of supermodeling by cross-pollination in time: or “Probably not a probability forecast”‘ at the SUMO Summer School of the Macedonian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Ohrid, Macedonia, 2-7 September 2013. Watch the talk. Talk slides.
Erica Thompson presented a seminar on ‘Why climate science is difficult’ at the London Mathematical Laboratory.
Leonard Smith gave an invited talk on ‘Dynamic probabilities, mature probabilities, and the links between data assimilation and ensemble forecasting in actual decision support’ at the Davos Atmosphere and Cryosphere Assembly, Switzerland. Abstract.
Roman Frigg was a lecturer on the Vienna International Summer University 2013: Climate Studies. He delivered five lectures on different aspects of climate change.
Reason Machete gave a talk entitled ‘Defective probabilistic forecasts: comforting the perplexed‘ at the 26th European Conference on Operational Research: The Forecasting Stream, Rome.
