Nick Watkins gave a talk on ‘Some work in progress on bursts in complex systems’ Applied Mathematics

Nick Watkins gave a talk on ‘Some work in progress on bursts in complex systems’, Applied Mathematics Informal Seminar, Mathematics Department, UIT, Tromso, Norway.

Roman Frigg gave an invited lecture on ‘Laplace’s Demon, the Adventures of His Apprentices’ SimTech

Roman Frigg gave an invited lecture on ‘Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices’, SimTech Colloquium, University of Stuttgart, Germany.

Leonard Smith, David Stainforth attended the ‘ReThinking National Climate Scenarios’ Workshop Readi

Leonard Smith and David Stainforth attended the ‘(Re)Thinking National Climate Scenarios’ Workshop, Reading. Leonard Smith gave a talk on ‘(Pre)Thinking National Science Contracts which Request Science Beyond the Pale’. David Stainforth gave a talk entitled ‘Painting Pictures of the Future’.

Nick Watkins gave an invited seminar on ‘The surprising robustness of the surplus run length ratio f

Nick Watkins gave an invited seminar on ‘The surprising robustness of the surplus run length ratio formula, and its application to bursts from natural complex systems’ at MPIPKS, Dresden.

Leonard Smith was invited to give the Charney Lecture at the AGU Fall Meeting December San Fra

Leonard Smith was invited to give the Charney Lecture at the AGU Fall Meeting 2013, 9-13 December 2013, San Francisco. The lecture was entitled: ‘Predictability, Probability(s) and Physical Insight’. Abstract. For a list of other CATS abstracts see CATS at AGU 2013.

Keith Beven gave a keynote talk on ‘On uncertainty, probability in predicting natural hazard risks u

Keith Beven gave a keynote talk on ‘On uncertainty and probability in predicting natural hazard risks using models’ to the ecorisQ association General Assembly 2013, Geneva.

Leonard Smith was invited to participate in a limited twoday workshop assessing uncertainties for

Leonard Smith was invited to participate in a limited two-day workshop assessing uncertainties for extrapolations, Las Vegas. The workshop goal was to flesh out principles and approaches for quantifying uncertainty in extrapolative, model-based predictions, and included a field trip to the Nevada National Security Site.

Keith Beven gave an invited talk on ‘Hazard risk, epistemic error: examples from floods, climate cha

Keith Beven gave an invited talk on ‘Hazard, risk and epistemic error: examples from floods and climate change’ to the Centre for Natural Disaster Studies Annual Academy Meeting, Uppsala, Sweden.

Erica Thompson gave an invited seminar on ‘Statistical challenges in climate research’ to the Statis

Erica Thompson gave an invited seminar on ‘Statistical challenges in climate research’ to the Statistics Department of Queen Mary, University of London.

David Stainforth was an invited panel member at the Living With Environmental Change LWEC nd Annual

David Stainforth was an invited panel member at the Living With Environmental Change (LWEC) 2nd Annual General Assembly 2013 ‘Decision Making in the Twilight of Uncertainty’, Aston University, Birmingham.