Suckling EB and Smith LA   An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from stateoftheart cl

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Suckling, E.B. and Smith, L.A. (2013) ‘An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from state-of-the-art climate models‘, Journal of Climate, 26 23: 9334-9347.  DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00485.1. Supplementary material.

Calel R Stainforth DA, Dietz S  ‘ Tall tales, fat tails: the science, economics of extreme warming

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Calel, R., Stainforth, D.A., and Dietz, S. 2013 ‘Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming‘, Climatic Change. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0911-4,Sept 2013.

Imbers J Lopez A Huntingford C and Allen MR ‘ Testing the robustness of the anthropogenic climate

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Imbers, J., Lopez, A., Huntingford, C. and Allen, M.R. (2013) ‘Testing the robustness of the anthropogenic climate change detection statements using different empirical models‘, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 8, 3192–3199. DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50296.

Imbers J Lopez A Huntingford C and Allen MR  ‘ Sensitivity of climate change detection, attributio

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Imbers, J., Lopez, A., Huntingford, C. and Allen, M.R. 2013 ‘Sensitivity of climate change detection and attribution to the characterization of internal climate variability‘, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00622.1.

Capparelli V Franzke C Vecchio A Freeman MP Watkins NW, Carbone V   A spaciotemporal analysis of US

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Capparelli, V., Franzke, C., Vecchio, A., Freeman, M.P., Watkins, N.W. and Carbone, V. 2013 ‘A spaciotemporal analysis of U.S. station temperature trends over the last century‘, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol.118, 1-8, DOI:10.1002/jgrd.50551.

Stainforth DA Chapman SC, Watkins NW ‘ Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions

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Stainforth, D.A., Chapman, S.C. and Watkins, N.W. (2013) ‘Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions‘, Environmental Research Letters, 8 034031. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034031. Video abstract.

Daron JD, Stainforth DA  ‘ On predicting climate under climate change” https:leonardsmithuswpconten

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Daron, J.D. and Stainforth, D.A. (2013) ‘On predicting climate under climate change‘. Environmental Research Letters, 8 034021. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034021. Video-abstract.

Baker DJ February ‘Climate Change as an Intergenerational Problem’ Proceeding

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Baker, D.J. (15 February 2013) ‘Climate Change as an Intergenerational Problem’, Proceedings of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1302536110.

Millner A Calel R Stainforth DA and MacKerron G  ‘ Do probabilitistic expert elicitations ca

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Millner, A., Calel, R., Stainforth, D.A. and MacKerron, G. (2013) ‘Do probabilistic expert elicitations capture scientists’ uncertainty about climate change?‘, Climatic Change, 116 2: 427-436. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0620-4.

Watkins NW  ‘ Bunched black, grouped grey swans: dissipative, nondissipative models of correlated

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Watkins, N.W. (2013) ‘Bunched black (and grouped grey) swans: dissipative and non-dissipative models of correlated extreme fluctuations in complex geosystems‘, Geophysical Research Letters, 40 2: 402–410. DOI: 10.1002/grl.50103, 2013.