Smith LA Du H Suckling EB, Niehörster F  ‘ Probabilitistic skill in ensemble seasonal forecasts”

Smith, L.A., Du, H., Suckling, E.B. and Niehörster, F. 2014 ‘Probabilistic skill in ensemble seasonal forecasts‘, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.Vol. 141, Iss. 689. DOI:10.1002/qj.2403.

Daron J, Stainforth DA  ‘ Assessing pricing assumptions for weather index insurance in a change cli

Daron, J. and Stainforth, D.A. 2014 ‘Assessing pricing assumptions for weather index insurance in a changing climate‘, Climate Risk Management,1 pp. 76-91, ISSN 2212-0963. DOI:10.1016/j.crm.2014.01.001.

Bradley S Frigg R Du H, Smith LA ‘ Model error, ensemble forecasting: a cautionary tale” https:leon

Bradley, S., Frigg, R., Du, H. and Smith, L.A. 2014 ‘Model error and ensemble forecasting: a cautionary tale‘, in Guichun C. Guo and Chuang Liu (ed.) Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science, Singapore: World Scientific 2014, 58-66.

Smith LA, Petersen AC ‘ Variations on reliability: connecting climate predictions to climate policy

Smith, L.A. and Petersen, A.C., 2014 ‘Variations on reliability: connecting climate predictions to climate policy,’ in Boumans, M., Hon, G. and Petersen, A.C. (ed.) Error and Uncertainty in Scientific Practice, London: Pickering & Chatto.

Frigg R Bradley S Du H, Smith LA  ‘ Laplace’s Demon, the adventures of his apprentices” https:leona

Frigg, R., Bradley, S., Du, H. and Smith, L.A. (2014) ‘Laplace’s Demon and the adventures of his apprentices‘, Philosophy of Science, 81 1 (January 2014), pp. 31-59.DOI: 10.1086/674416.

Du H, Smith LA ‘

Du, H. and Smith, L.A. (2014) ‘Pseudo-orbit data assimilation part I: the perfect model Scenario‘, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71 2. pp. 469-482. ISSN 0022-4928. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-032.1.

Du H, Smith LA ‘ Pseudo-orbit data assimilation part II: assimilation with imperfect models” https:l

Du, H. and Smith, L.A. (2014) ‘Pseudo-orbit data assimilation part II: assimilation with imperfect models‘, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71 2. pp. 483-495. ISSN 0022-4928. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-033.1.

Lopez A Smith LA and Suckling EB  ‘ Robustness of pattern scaled climate change scenarios for ad

Lopez, A., Smith, L.A. and Suckling, E.B. 2014 ‘Robustness of pattern scaled climate change scenarios for adaptation decision support‘, Climatic Change, DOI:10.1007/s10584-013-1022-y. Supplementary material.

Scientific ambiguity and climate policy

Millner, Dietz and Heal (2013) ‘Scientific ambiguity and climate policy‘, Environmental and Resource Economics, Volume 55, Issue 1, pp 21-46.

 

Surminski (2013) Private-sector adaptation to climate risk, Nature Climate Change, 3, 943–945.

Surminski (2013) Private-sector adaptation to climate risk, Nature Climate Change, 3, 943–945.