Machete RL, Smith LA ‘ Demonstrating the value of larger ensembles in forecasting physical systems”

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Machete, R.L. and Smith, L.A. 2016 ‘Demonstrating the value of larger ensembles in forecasting physical systems‘, Tellus A, 68. Article no:29393. DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.28393.

Smith LA ‘ Integrating information misinformation, desire: improved weatherrisk management for the

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Smith, L.A. 2016 ‘Integrating information, misinformation and desire: improved weather-risk management for the energy sector‘, in Aston, P.J., Mulholland, A.J. and Tant, K.M.M. (ed.) UK Success Stories in Industrial Mathematics, 289-296. Springer International Publishing Switzerland. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-25454-8_37.

Thompson E Frigg R, Helgeson C ‘ Expert judgment for climate change adaptation” https:leonardsmithu

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Thompson, E., Frigg, R. and Helgeson, C. (2016) ‘Expert judgment for climate change adaptation‘, Philosopy of Science, 83 5 (December 2016) pp.1110-1121. DOI:10.1086/687942.

Thorne C Lawson EC Ozawa C Hamlin SL, Smith LA ‘

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Thorne, C., Lawson, E.C., Ozawa, C., Hamlin, S.L. and Smith, L.A. 2015 ‘Overcoming uncertainty and lack of confidence as barriers to wide adoption of Blue-Green infrastructure for urban flood risk management‘, Journal of Flood Risk Management, 2015. DOI: 10.1111/jfr3.12218.

Smith LA Suckling EB Thompson EL Maynard T, Du H  ‘ Towards improving the framework for probabiliti

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Smith, L.A., Suckling, E.B., Thompson, E.L., Maynard, T. and Du, H. 2015 ‘Towards improving the framework for probabilistic forecast evaluation‘, Climatic Change. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1430-2.

Frigg R Smith LA, Stainforth DA ‘ An assessment of the foundational assumptions in highresolution c

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Frigg, R., Smith, L.A. and Stainforth, D.A. 2015 ‘An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09‘, Synthese. DOI: 10.1007/s11229-015-0739-8.

Hawkins E Smith RS Gregory JM, Stainforth DA ‘

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Hawkins, E., Smith, R.S., Gregory, J.M. and Stainforth, D.A. 2015 ‘Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections‘, Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2806-8.

Hazeleger W van den Hurk BJJM Min E van Oldenborgh GJ Petersen AC Stainforth DA Vasileiadou E, Smith

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Hazeleger, W., van den Hurk, B.J.J.M., Min, E., van Oldenborgh, G.J., Petersen, A.C., Stainforth, D.A., Vasileiadou, E. and Smith, L.A. 2015 ‘Tales of future weather‘, Nature Climate Change, 5, 107-113. DOI: 10.1038/NClimate2450.

Smith LA Du H Suckling EB, Niehörster F  ‘ Probabilitistic skill in ensemble seasonal forecasts”

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Smith, L.A., Du, H., Suckling, E.B. and Niehörster, F. 2014 ‘Probabilistic skill in ensemble seasonal forecasts‘, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.Vol. 141, Iss. 689. DOI:10.1002/qj.2403.

Bradley S Frigg R Du H, Smith LA ‘ Model error, ensemble forecasting: a cautionary tale” https:leon

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Bradley, S., Frigg, R., Du, H. and Smith, L.A. 2014 ‘Model error and ensemble forecasting: a cautionary tale‘, in Guichun C. Guo and Chuang Liu (ed.) Scientific Explanation and Methodology of Science, Singapore: World Scientific 2014, 58-66.