Leonard Smith presented ‘The Bayesian’s Burden: Or Why Physicists Shrug and Statisticians Scoff (as the Earth warms)’ at NCAS/NERC Earth System Science Summer School, York.
Leonard Smith presented ‘Getting beyond the statistics: Towards Quantifying the Geometry of Model Error’ at RMetS meeting on Estimating/representing forecast and model errors, Met Office, Exeter.
Leonard Smith presented ‘Climate Models: current science and common sense’ at the ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy Lecture, chaired by Professor Nancy Cartwright – part of the ESRC Festival of Social Science, LSE. Abstract.
Leonard Smith presented ‘Using Empirically Inadequate Models to inform Your Subjective Probabilities: How might Solvency II inform climate change decisions?’ at Oxford Maths Institute meeting on ‘Climate: Methods for Model Comparison and Criticism in the context of data assimilation‘, Oxford.
Leonard Smith presented ‘Translating Seasonal Forecasts into Year Ahead Hurricane Numbers: The Outlook and Some Recent Advances in ENSEMBLES’ at Environmental Risk Management workshop (NERC + Maths KTN), Lloyds.
David Stainforth presented ‘Challenges in the Extraction of Decision Relevant Information from Multi-Decadal Ensembles of GCMs’ at SAMSI workshop on Climate Change. Abstract.
Leonard Smith presented (with comments by Roman Frigg) ‘Causation and explanation in our nonlinear world’ at Barcelona Conference on Causality and Explanation in Physics, Biology and Economics. Abstract.
Leonard Smith, Roman Frigg, Seamus Bradley presented ‘Decision-Making with Climate Models’ at LSE Choice Group seminar, LSE. Abstract.
Leonard Smith presented ‘Examining Uncertainties In Climate Models: Forecasting The Impact Of Best And Worst Case Climate Scenarios On The Future Of The ILS Market’ at 7th Insurance Linked Securities (ILS) Summit, 28-29 January 2019, New York.
Leonard Smith presented ‘Evaluating high dimensional models given only a few observations: Anomalies, re-analyses and reality’ at the workshop Exploring Complex Dynamics in High-Dimensional Chaotic Systems: From Weather Forecasting to Oceanic Flows (ECODYC10), 25-29 January 2010, MPIPKS, Dresden.
