Theocharis Z Smith LA, Harvey N ‘ The influence of graphical format on judgmental forecasting accur

Theocharis, Z., Smith, L.A. and Harvey, N. 2018 ‘The influence of graphical format on judgmental forecasting accuracy: Lines versus points,’ Futures Foresight Sci. 2018; e7. DOI: 10.1002/ffo2.7.

Jarman AS, Smith LA ‘Quantifying the predictability of a predictand: demonstrating the diverse role

Jarman, A.S. and Smith, L.A. 2018 ‘Quantifying the predictability of a predictand: demonstrating the diverse roles of serial dependence in the estimation of forecast skill’, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, DOI: 10.1002/qj.3384.

Du H, Smith LA ‘ Multimodel crosspollination in time ” https:leonardsmithuswpcontentuploadsMultimod

Du, H. and Smith, L.A. 2017 ‘Multi-model cross pollination in time‘, Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, Vol. 353-4, pp. 31-38. DOI: 10.1016/j.physd.2017.06.001.

Du H, Smith LA  ‘ Rising above chaotic likelihoods” https:leonardsmithuswpcontentuploadsRisingabov

Du, H. and Smith, L.A. (2017) ‘Rising above chaotic likelihoods‘, SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 5 246-258. DOI: 10.1137/140988784.

Thompson E Frigg R, Helgeson C ‘ Expert judgment for climate change adaptation” https:leonardsmithu

Thompson, E., Frigg, R. and Helgeson, C. (2016) ‘Expert judgment for climate change adaptation‘, Philosopy of Science, 83 5 (December 2016) pp.1110-1121. DOI:10.1086/687942.

Machete RL, Smith LA ‘ Demonstrating the value of larger ensembles in forecasting physical systems”

Machete, R.L. and Smith, L.A. 2016 ‘Demonstrating the value of larger ensembles in forecasting physical systems‘, Tellus A, 68. Article no:29393. DOI: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.28393.

Smith LA ‘ Integrating information misinformation, desire: improved weatherrisk management for the

Smith, L.A. 2016 ‘Integrating information, misinformation and desire: improved weather-risk management for the energy sector‘, in Aston, P.J., Mulholland, A.J. and Tant, K.M.M. (ed.) UK Success Stories in Industrial Mathematics, 289-296. Springer International Publishing Switzerland. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-25454-8_37.

Thorne C Lawson EC Ozawa C Hamlin SL, Smith LA ‘

Thorne, C., Lawson, E.C., Ozawa, C., Hamlin, S.L. and Smith, L.A. 2015 ‘Overcoming uncertainty and lack of confidence as barriers to wide adoption of Blue-Green infrastructure for urban flood risk management‘, Journal of Flood Risk Management, 2015. DOI: 10.1111/jfr3.12218.

Frigg R Thompson E, Werndl C ‘Philosophy of Climate Science Part I: Observing Climate Change’ 

Frigg, R., Thompson, E. and Werndl, C. 2015 ‘Philosophy of Climate Science Part I: Observing Climate Change’, Philosophy Compass, Vol. 10, Issue 12, pp. 953-964. DOI: 10.1111/phc3.12294.