Imbers J Lopez A Huntingford C and Allen MR  ‘ Sensitivity of climate change detection, attributio

Imbers, J., Lopez, A., Huntingford, C. and Allen, M.R. 2013 ‘Sensitivity of climate change detection and attribution to the characterization of internal climate variability‘, Journal of Climate. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00622.1.

Suckling EB and Smith LA   An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from stateoftheart cl

Suckling, E.B. and Smith, L.A. (2013) ‘An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from state-of-the-art climate models‘, Journal of Climate, 26 23: 9334-9347.  DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00485.1. Supplementary material.

Frigg R Smith LA, Stainforth DA ‘ The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: the case of UKCP” https:l

Frigg, R., Smith, L.A. and Stainforth, D.A. (2013) ‘The myopia of imperfect climate models: the case of UKCP09‘, Philosophy of Science, 80 5, pp. 886-897. DOI: 10.1086/673892.

Stainforth DA Chapman SC, Watkins NW ‘ Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions

Stainforth, D.A., Chapman, S.C. and Watkins, N.W. (2013) ‘Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions‘, Environmental Research Letters, 8 034031. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034031. Video abstract.

Calel R Stainforth DA, Dietz S  ‘ Tall tales, fat tails: the science, economics of extreme warming

Calel, R., Stainforth, D.A., and Dietz, S. 2013 ‘Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming‘, Climatic Change. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0911-4,Sept 2013.

Daron JD, Stainforth DA  ‘ On predicting climate under climate change” https:leonardsmithuswpconten

Daron, J.D. and Stainforth, D.A. (2013) ‘On predicting climate under climate change‘. Environmental Research Letters, 8 034021. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034021. Video-abstract.

Frigg R Bradley S Machete RL and Smith LA ‘ Probablitistic forecasting: why model imperfect

Frigg, R., Bradley, S., Machete, R.L. and Smith, L.A. 2013 ‘Probabilistic forecasting: why model imperfection is a poison pill‘, in Andersen, H., Dieks, D., Wheeler, G., Gonzalez, W., and Uebel, T. (ed.) New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. Berlin and New York: Springer, Vol. 4, 479-491. DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-5845-2_39.

Imbers J Lopez A Huntingford C and Allen MR ‘ Testing the robustness of the anthropogenic climate

Imbers, J., Lopez, A., Huntingford, C. and Allen, M.R. (2013) ‘Testing the robustness of the anthropogenic climate change detection statements using different empirical models‘, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 8, 3192–3199. DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50296.

Millner A Calel R Stainforth DA and MacKerron G  ‘ Do probabilitistic expert elicitations ca

Millner, A., Calel, R., Stainforth, D.A. and MacKerron, G. (2013) ‘Do probabilistic expert elicitations capture scientists’ uncertainty about climate change?‘, Climatic Change, 116 2: 427-436. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0620-4.