Jarman AS, Smith LA ‘Quantifying the predictability of a predictand: demonstrating the diverse role
Jarman, A.S. and Smith, L.A. 2018 ‘Quantifying the predictability of a predictand: demonstrating the diverse roles of serial dependence in the estimation of forecast skill’, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, DOI: 10.1002/qj.3384.


